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Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Oscar, located near the central and southeastern Bahamas. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Papin
Summary for Tropical Storm Oscar (AT1/AL162024)
...OSCAR CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... As of 8:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 the center of Oscar was located near 22.8, -74.7 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tropical Storm Oscar Public Advisory Number 13A
Issued at 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 74.7W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas * Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 74.7 West. Oscar is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected later today and on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to move near the southeastern and central Bahamas today, then move away from the Bahamas tonight and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the day today. Oscar is expected to become a post-tropical low by tonight or early Wednesday, and then be absorbed by another low pressure area by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) east and northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the central and southeastern Bahamas today. RAINFALL: Across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated amounts around 8 inches, are expected through today. This rainfall could cause localized flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Tropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 13
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 220831 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.8W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.8W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 75.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.8N 73.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.7N 71.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 69.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 74.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Oscar Forecast Discussion Number 13
Issued at 500 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT41 KNHC 220833 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Oscar Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 500 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Oscar is at best barely a tropical storm at this time. While convection associated with the system has increased since the last advisory, most of it is occurring in clusters well away from the center in the eastern semicircle, and there is only minimal convection near the center. Also, while 850 mb flight-level winds were as high as 45-50 kt during an earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission, dropsonde and SFMR data suggests those winds were having trouble mixing down to the surface. The system will be maintained as a 35-kt tropical storm pending the next recon flight and whether convection will increase further during the upcoming diurnal maximum. The global models are in good agreement that a developing mid- to upper-level trough over the southwestern Atlantic will cause baroclinic cyclogenesis near or north of Oscar during the next 24-48 h. The UKMET shows Oscar become the main focus for the development and becoming a large extratropical low, while the GFS develops a second low to the north of Oscar with Oscar becoming absorbed into the new system. The ECMWF and Canadian models forecast a blend of these scenarios, with the baroclinic low forming close to Oscar. Given Oscar's organization and current trends in satellite imagery, the intensity forecast leans towards the GFS solution, with Oscar becoming a post-tropical low in less than 24 h and then being absorbed by the new low in 36-48 h. The initial motion is now 030/10 kt. Interaction with the above mentioned trough should steer Oscar generally northeastward with an increase in forward speed until it is absorbed by the new baroclinic low. The new forecast track is similar to the previous track. Key Messages: 1. Through Tuesday, localized flash flooding will be possible across the southeastern Bahamas as well as the Turks and Caicos Islands. With rainfall easing across Cuba, flooding from rainfall which has already occurred could remain a concern for the next several days. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 22.7N 74.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 23.8N 73.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 25.7N 71.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 23/1800Z 28.5N 69.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Tropical Storm Oscar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 220832 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN SALVADOR 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MAYAGUANA 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Oscar Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 11:58:43 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 09:22:54 GMT
Eastern Pacific
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
310 ABPZ20 KNHC 221120 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 22 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kristy, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Kristy are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Kristy are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Papin
Summary for Tropical Storm Kristy (EP2/EP122024)
...KRISTY CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... As of 3:00 AM CST Tue Oct 22 the center of Kristy was located near 14.2, -104.8 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tropical Storm Kristy Public Advisory Number 3
Issued at 300 AM CST Tue Oct 22 2024 264 WTPZ32 KNHC 220834 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kristy Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122024 300 AM CST Tue Oct 22 2024 ...KRISTY CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 104.8W ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SE OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kristy was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 104.8 West. Kristy is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A westward motion is expected for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Kristy is forecast to become a hurricane by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Tropical Storm Kristy Forecast Advisory Number 3
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 220833 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.8W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.8W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 104.0W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.3N 107.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.4N 110.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.3N 113.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.2N 117.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.8N 123.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.1N 127.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.3N 131.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 104.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Tropical Storm Kristy Forecast Discussion Number 3
Issued at 300 AM CST Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 220835 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Kristy Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122024 300 AM CST Tue Oct 22 2024 Satellite images indicate that Kristy has continued to gradually become better organized during the overnight hours. A convective burst has been occurring over the low-level center, an indication that a central core could be forming. The cyclone also has some impressive curved banding to the north and west, although these bands are a bit far from the center. A pair of ASCAT passes from 22/0346 UTC and 22/0441 UTC showed tropical storm force winds in the northern semi-circle, with vectors in the 35 to 38 kt range. Since the time of the ASCAT passes, Kristy's convection has become better organized, with latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB at a consensus T-3.0/45 kt. The initial intensity is nudged upward to 45 kt for this advisory. Kristy is estimated to be moving west-northwestward, or 285/13 kt. A strong subtropical ridge to the north of the cyclone will steer it westward for the next 3 days or so. Friday into the weekend, a turn to the west-northwest or northwest is expected as Kristy rounds the western periphery of the mid to upper-level ridge, and a mid-latitude upper-level trough approaches from the west. The track forecast is largely unchanged from the previous official forecast and lies in the middle of the guidance envelope. It should be noted that there is quite a bit of spread in the track guidance at days 4 and 5, so confidence in this part of the forecast is a bit below average. Environmental conditions are favorable for steady strengthening, and rapid intensification cannot be ruled out. For the next 72 h, Kristy will remain within an environment of warm ocean temperatures, relatively weak vertical wind shear, and a moist troposphere. Beyond 72 h, southerly or southwesterly vertical wind shear will begin to increase over the cyclone, becoming strong in 4 to 5 days. Kristy should also cross the 26C isotherm in about 4 days and move into a much more stable environment. Therefore, weakening should begin in 3 to 4 days, with the potential for rapid weakening in 4 to 5 days. The intensity forecast is largely unchanged from the previous prediction, which calls for Kristy to peak at 100 kt in a few days, and lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 14.2N 104.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 14.3N 107.1W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 14.4N 110.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 23/1800Z 14.3N 113.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 24/0600Z 14.2N 117.2W 95 KT 110 MPH 60H 24/1800Z 14.3N 120.3W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 25/0600Z 14.8N 123.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 26/0600Z 17.1N 127.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 27/0600Z 20.3N 131.6W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Hagen
Tropical Storm Kristy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 220834 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) CLIPPERTON IS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 110W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 2 87(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 15N 110W 50 X 48(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 15N 110W 64 X 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 10N 115W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 55(57) 32(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 17(17) 43(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 71(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 58(61) X(61) X(61) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) X(40) X(40) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 10N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 35(74) 1(75) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 32(43) X(43) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 1(25) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 42(57) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Tropical Storm Kristy Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 08:37:50 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 09:28:54 GMT